The US Army has released new operational guidance that names China its greatest threat and calls for forces to be positioned forward so they can act from the first day of a conflict. A direct reaction from the Chinese government has not been confirmed.
According to the Chosun Ilbo and the English edition of the Seoul Economic Daily, the Army issued new operational guidance titled ‘How the Army Fights’. The Seoul Economic Daily said it was released on the 7th, local time, while Stripes reported on the 8th that the 46-page document was signed by Gen. Christopher LaNeve. Outlets differ on whether he is vice chief or acting chief of staff, so this paper gives only his name.
광고 문의 · 300×250Core of the guidance: forward posture on the first island chain
The Seoul Economic Daily said the guidance holds that forces must be postured to act immediately from the first day of a conflict. It envisions forward-stationed and rotational units on the first island chain, running from Kyushu through Okinawa and Taiwan to the Philippines, backed by munitions and fuel hubs on the second island chain. It also moves prepositioned stocks forward and expands long-range precision fires and munitions stockpiles.
The document also covers resupply across the Pacific with unmanned surface vessels and ships, and a review of allied basing and overflight agreements. The Seoul Economic Daily reported that the 4th Multi-Domain Task Force, about 2,100 troops, was activated on the 8th at Fort Carson, Colorado, under the Multi-Domain Command in the Pacific, working alongside the 1st Task Force in Hawaii. The guidance also warns that the US homeland is ‘no longer a sanctuary’.
Stripes said the guidance holds that the opening battle must be won near the adversary's region so that main combat power can arrive. It suggests keeping forward presence through rotational forces, hardened equipment stocks and rapid-response hubs rather than large permanent garrisons. China is described as the ‘pacing threat’, and conventional deterrence in Europe and the Middle East is to be shifted to allies so resources can focus on China.
The Chinese side and differing readings
A direct response from the Chinese government to this guidance had not been confirmed at the time of writing. Beijing has long described its defense policy as defensive and has opposed the so-called ‘China threat’ narrative. That is a standing official position, however, not a confirmed comment on this document.
Washington's logic is that forward posture deters aggression and allows rapid response. Defense News reported in September that China amended a law to allow mobilization of resources in a conflict, so both sides are refining postures and rules premised on contingencies. The guidance is a planning document and does not mean a clash is coming; how the two militaries keep their channels of communication open is worth watching.